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Name File Type Size Last Modified
Appendix A2.zip application/zip 3.1 KB 10/08/2020 11:24:AM
Appendix A6.zip application/zip 33.7 KB 08/16/2020 11:30:PM
Appendix A9.zip application/zip 25.1 KB 08/14/2020 03:51:AM
Appendix B.zip application/zip 20.4 KB 08/16/2020 11:31:PM
Empirical Facts.zip application/zip 51.5 KB 08/16/2020 11:37:PM
Readme Data.pdf application/pdf 179.5 KB 08/16/2020 11:37:PM
Readme Model.pdf application/pdf 99.7 KB 10/08/2020 11:07:AM
replication_files_model.zip application/zip 1.1 MB 10/08/2020 11:06:AM

Project Citation: 

Braun, Sebastian Till, and Weber, Henning. Data and code for: “How do regional labor markets adjust to immigration? A dynamic analysis for post-war Germany.” Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2020-10-08. https://doi.org/10.3886/E123821V1

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the dynamic labor market effects of one of the largest forced population movements in history, the mass inflow of eight million German expellees into West Germany after World War II. The expellee inflow was distributed very asymmetrically across two West German regions. We develop a dynamic equilibrium model that closely fits two decades of historical data on the regional unemployment differential and the regional migration rate. Both variables increase dramatically after the expellee inflow and decline only gradually over the next decade. The long-lasting adjustment process implies losses in the lifetime labor income of native workers that are not covered by conventional steady state analyses. Regional migration serves as an important adjustment margin for native workers to insure against local labor supply shocks.

Funding Sources:  View help for Funding Sources Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (Germany) (BR 4979/1-1); Leibniz Association



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