Data and code for: "How do regional labor markets adjust to immigration? A dynamic analysis for post-war Germany"
Principal Investigator(s): View help for Principal Investigator(s) Sebastian Till Braun, University of Bayreuth; Henning Weber, Deutsche Bundesbank
Version: View help for Version V1
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application/zip | 3.1 KB | 10/08/2020 11:24:AM |
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application/zip | 33.7 KB | 08/16/2020 11:30:PM |
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application/pdf | 99.7 KB | 10/08/2020 11:07:AM |
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application/zip | 1.1 MB | 10/08/2020 11:06:AM |
Project Citation:
Braun, Sebastian Till, and Weber, Henning. Data and code for: “How do regional labor markets adjust to immigration? A dynamic analysis for post-war Germany.” Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2020-10-08. https://doi.org/10.3886/E123821V1
Project Description
Summary:
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This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the dynamic labor market effects of one of the largest forced population movements in history, the mass inflow of eight million German expellees into West Germany after World War II. The expellee inflow was distributed very asymmetrically across two West German regions. We develop a dynamic equilibrium model that closely fits two decades of historical data on the regional unemployment differential and the regional migration rate. Both variables increase dramatically after the expellee inflow and decline only gradually over the next decade. The long-lasting adjustment process implies losses in the lifetime labor income of native workers that are not covered by conventional steady state analyses. Regional migration serves as an important adjustment margin for native workers to insure against local labor supply shocks.
Funding Sources:
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Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (Germany) (BR 4979/1-1);
Leibniz Association
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