Data and Code for: "Belief Elicitation When More Than Money Matters: Controlling for Control"
Principal Investigator(s): View help for Principal Investigator(s) Jean-Pierre Benoît, London Business School; Juan Dubra, Universidad de Montevideo; Giorgia Romagnoli, University of Amsterdam
Version: View help for Version V1
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Project Citation:
Project Description
utility of money is state independent or that money is the only argument in utility
functions. However, subjects may have non-monetary objectives that confound these
mechanisms. In particular, psychologists have argued that people favour bets where
their ability is involved over equivalent random bets, a so-called preference for control.
We propose a new belief elicitation method that mitigates the control preference. Using
this method, we determine that under the ostensibly incentive compatible matching
probabilities method, subjects report self-beliefs 18% higher than their true beliefs in
order to increase control. Non-monetary objectives account for at least 68% of what
would normally be measured as overcon fidence. We also find that control manifests
itself only as a desire for betting on doing well; betting on doing badly is perceived
as a negative. Our mechanism can be used to yield better measurements of beliefs in
contexts beyond the study of overcon fidence.
Scope of Project
C91 Design of Experiments: Laboratory, Individual
D01 Microeconomic Behavior: Underlying Principles
D83 Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
Methodology
Related Publications
Published Versions
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