Data for "Who's Paying for the U.S. Tariffs? A Longer-Term Perspective"

Principal Investigator(s): View help for Principal Investigator(s) Mary Amiti, Federal Reserve Bank of New York; Stephen Redding, Princeton University; David Weinstein, Columbia University

Version: View help for Version V2

Version Title: View help for Version Title Minor updates to layout

Name	File Type	Size	Last Modified
Replication_Jan2020			02/03/2020 04:04:PM

Project Citation:

Amiti, Mary, Redding, Stephen, and Weinstein, David. Data for “Who’s Paying for the U.S. Tariffs? A Longer-Term Perspective.” Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2020. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2020-08-20. https://doi.org/10.3886/E117142V2

Project Description

Summary: Using data from 2018, a number of studies have found that recent U.S tariffs have been passed on entirely to U.S. importers and consumers. These results are surprising given that trade theory has long stressed that tariffs applied by a large country should drive down foreign prices. Using another year of data including significant escalations in the trade war, we find that U.S. tariffs continue to be almost entirely borne by U.S. firms and consumers. We show that the response of import values to the tariffs increases in absolute magnitude over time, consistent with the idea that it takes time for firms to reorganize supply chains. We find heterogeneity in the responses of some sectors, such as steel, where tariffs have caused foreign exporters to drop their prices substantially, enabling them to export relatively more than in sectors where tariff passthrough was complete.

Scope of Project

Subject Terms: Trade; tariffs; China; trade war

JEL Classification:
F13 Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations

Time Period(s): 1/2016 – 10/2019

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Published Versions

V2 [2020-08-20]

V1 [2020-02-02]

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