Replication data for: Assessing the Impact of a School Subsidy Program in Mexico: Using a Social Experiment to Validate a Dynamic Behavioral Model of Child Schooling and Fertility
Principal Investigator(s): View help for Principal Investigator(s) Petra E. Todd; Kenneth I. Wolpin
Version: View help for Version V1
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Project Citation:
Todd, Petra E., and Wolpin, Kenneth I. Replication data for: Assessing the Impact of a School Subsidy Program in Mexico: Using a Social Experiment to Validate a Dynamic Behavioral Model of Child Schooling and Fertility. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2006. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2019-12-07. https://doi.org/10.3886/E116240V1
Project Description
Summary:
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This paper uses data from a randomized social experiment in Mexico to estimate
and validate a dynamic behavioral model of parental decisions about fertility and
child schooling, to evaluate the effects of the PROGRESA school subsidy program,
and to perform a variety of counterfactual experiments of policy alternatives. Our
method of validation estimates the model without using post-program data and then
compares the models predictions about program impacts to the experimental
impact estimates. The results show that the models predicted program impacts
track the experimental results. Our analysis of counterfactual policies reveals an
alternative subsidy schedule that would induce a greater impact on average school
attainment at similar cost to the existing program.
Scope of Project
JEL Classification:
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I21 Analysis of Education
I28 Education: Government Policy
J13 Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
O15 Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
I21 Analysis of Education
I28 Education: Government Policy
J13 Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
O15 Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
Time Period(s):
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1998 – 2000
Universe:
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households living in rural Mexican villages
Data Type(s):
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survey data;
experimental data
Collection Notes:
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506 villages were randomly sampled to be part of the evaluation from rural areas in Mexico. A subset was chosen at random to be part of the treament group (186 villages) and the rest to serve as controls. Within the villages, all households were sampled (including both program-eligible and ineligible households)
Methodology
Data Source:
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The Mexican government gathered these survey data to evaluate the effects of the Progresa conditional cash transfer program on children's school-going behavior and on household outcomes (such as consumption)
Unit(s) of Observation:
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households and individuals,
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