Replication data for: The Logic of Insurgent Electoral Violence
Principal Investigator(s): View help for Principal Investigator(s) Luke N. Condra; James D. Long; Andrew C. Shaver; Austin L. Wright
Version: View help for Version V1
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Replication_Files | 10/20/2021 10:43:AM | ||
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text/plain | 14.6 KB | 10/12/2019 03:13:AM |
Project Citation:
Condra, Luke N., Long, James D., Shaver, Andrew C., and Wright, Austin L. Replication data for: The Logic of Insurgent Electoral Violence. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2018. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2019-10-12. https://doi.org/10.3886/E113182V1
Project Description
Summary:
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Competitive elections are essential to establishing the political legitimacy of democratizing regimes. We argue that insurgents undermine the state's mandate through electoral violence. We study insurgent violence during elections using newly declassified microdata on the conflict in Afghanistan. Our data track insurgent activity by hour to within meters of attack locations. Our results
suggest that insurgents carefully calibrate their production of violence during elections to avoid harming civilians. Leveraging a novel instrumental variables approach, we find that violence depresses voting. Collectively, the results suggest insurgents try to depress turnout while avoiding backlash from harming civilians. Counterfactual exercises provide potentially actionable insights
for safeguarding at-risk elections and enhancing electoral legitimacy in emerging democracies.
Scope of Project
Subject Terms:
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insurgency;
survey data;
rainfall;
instrumental variables;
military records;
voting;
windspeed;
elections;
violence
JEL Classification:
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D72 Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
D74 Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions
O17 Formal and Informal Sectors; Shadow Economy; Institutional Arrangements
D72 Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
D74 Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions
O17 Formal and Informal Sectors; Shadow Economy; Institutional Arrangements
Geographic Coverage:
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Afghanistan
Time Period(s):
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1/2/2002 – 12/31/2015
Data Type(s):
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survey data;
administrative records data;
census/enumeration data;
observational data
Methodology
Data Source:
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SIGACTS: Shaver, Andrew, and Austin Wright. 2017. "Data on Combatant Activity during Afghanistan War Advance Scientific Investigation of Insurgency." ANQAR: Luke N Condra, Austin L Wright, Civilians, Control, and Collaboration during Civil Conflict, International Studies Quarterly, Volume 63, Issue 4, December 2019, Pages 897-907, https://doi.org/10.1093/isq/sqz042 Additional souces: See Data Appendix.
Unit(s) of Observation:
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District/hour,
road-level event,
Related Publications
Published Versions
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