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Project Citation: 

Callen, Michael, Isaqzadeh, Mohammad, Long, James D., and Sprenger, Charles. Replication data for: Violence and Risk Preference: Experimental Evidence from Afghanistan. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2014. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2019-10-11. https://doi.org/10.3886/E112721V1

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary We investigate the relationship between violence and economic risk preferences in Afghanistan combining: (i) a two-part experimental procedure identifying risk preferences, violations of Expected Utility, and specific preferences for certainty; (ii) controlled recollection of fear based on established methods from psychology; and (iii) administrative violence data from precisely geocoded military records. We document a specific preference for certainty in violation of Expected Utility. The preference for certainty, which we term a Certainty Premium, is exacerbated by the combination of violent exposure and controlled fearful recollections. The results have implications for risk taking and are potentially actionable for policymakers and marketers.

Scope of Project

JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      A12 Relation of Economics to Other Disciplines
      C91 Design of Experiments: Laboratory, Individual
      D12 Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
      D74 Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions
      D81 Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
      O12 Microeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
      O17 Formal and Informal Sectors; Shadow Economy; Institutional Arrangements


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