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  replication 06/10/2025 07:44:AM

Project Citation: 

Chopra, Felix, Roth, Christopher, and Wohlfart, Johannes. Data and Code for: “Home Prices Expectations and Spending: Evidence From a Field Experiment.” Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2025. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2025-06-16. https://doi.org/10.3886/E217262V1

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary We conduct a field experiment with US households to study how expectations about long-run home price growth shape spending decisions. We exogenously vary survey respondents’ expectations by providing different expert forecasts. Homeowners’ spending, measured using rich home-scanner data, is inelastic to home price expectations. By contrast, renters reduce their spending when expecting higher home price growth. These patterns reflect positive endowment effects for owners from higher future wealth and negative income effects for both groups due to higher future housing costs. Our study highlights consequences of asset price growth and long-term expectations about the economy for household behavior.


Scope of Project

Subject Terms:  View help for Subject Terms Expectations; consumption; housing
JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      C93 Field Experiments
      D14 Household Saving; Personal Finance
      D83 Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness


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