Data and Code for: Macro Uncertainty, Unemployment Risk, and Consumption Dynamics
Principal Investigator(s): View help for Principal Investigator(s) Joonseok Oh, University of Southampton; Anna Rogantini Picco, European Central Bank
Version: View help for Version V2
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application/zip | 185.4 MB | 08/05/2024 07:30:AM |
Project Citation:
Oh, Joonseok, and Rogantini Picco, Anna. Data and Code for: Macro Uncertainty, Unemployment Risk, and Consumption Dynamics. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2024-08-05. https://doi.org/10.3886/E208325V2
Project Description
Summary:
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Households’ income heterogeneity is important to explain consumption dynamics in response to aggregate macro uncertainty: an increase in uncertainty generates a consumption drop that is stronger for income poorer households. At the same time, labor markets are strongly responsive to macro uncertainty. A heterogeneous agent New Keynesian model with search-and-matching frictions in the labor market can account for these empirical findings. The mechanism at play is a feedback loop between income poorer households who, being subject to higher unemployment risk, contract consumption more in response to heightened uncertainty, and firms that post fewer vacancies following a drop in demand.
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