ECIN Replication Package for "The Impact of Uncertainty on Fan Interest Surrounding Multiple Outcomes in Open European Football Leagues"
Principal Investigator(s): View help for Principal Investigator(s) Pedro Garcia-del-Barrio, Universidad de Navarra; James Reade, University of Reading
Version: View help for Version V7
| Name | File Type | Size | Last Modified |
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| Replication | 05/01/2025 11:33:AM | ||
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application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.wordprocessingml.document | 41 KB | 04/22/2025 03:54:AM |
Project Citation:
Garcia-del-Barrio, Pedro, and Reade, James. ECIN Replication Package for “The Impact of Uncertainty on Fan Interest Surrounding Multiple Outcomes in Open European Football Leagues.” Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2025-05-01. https://doi.org/10.3886/E201302V7
Project Description
Summary:
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This paper introduces a hitherto unused source of information to evaluate the importance of uncertainty in driving demand for particular types of entertainment events. We use web searches via Google, and consider various dimensions of uncertainty of outcome in sporting events. Most saliently, we consider whether the complete removal of uncertainty surrounding the winner of a competition, something that often happens before European football leagues have completed, reduces interest. We find that the decrease in interest is signifficant, but that it is mitigated by the existence of multiple objectives (secondary prizes), such as qualifying for European competitions and avoiding relegation, which expands the fan interest in these leagues. We conclude by arming that such a diversiffied structure of competition, replete with an open structure of promotion and relegation, is desirable in the context of league competitions such as those in Europe that do not have a prominent play-off system to conclude the season.
Scope of Project
Subject Terms:
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Global Sports;
outcome certainty;
Google Trends;
Open leagues;
Multiple prizes
JEL Classification:
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J24 Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
J33 Compensation Packages; Payment Methods
J24 Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
J33 Compensation Packages; Payment Methods
Manuscript Number:
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ECIN-Jun-2023-0239
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