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Project Citation: 

Kekre, Rohan, and Lenel, Moritz. Data and Code for: The Flight to Safety and International Risk Sharing. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2024. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2024-05-14. https://doi.org/10.3886/E196621V1

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary
We study a business cycle model of the international monetary system featuring a time-varying demand for safe dollar bonds, greater risk-bearing capacity in the U.S. than the rest of the world, and nominal rigidities.  A flight to safety generates a dollar appreciation and decline in global output.  Dollar bonds thus command a negative risk premium and the U.S. holds a levered portfolio of capital financed in dollars.  We quantify the effects of safety shocks and heterogeneity in risk-bearing capacity for global macroeconomic volatility; U.S. external adjustment; and policy transmission, as of dollar swap lines.

Scope of Project

Subject Terms:  View help for Subject Terms international monetary system; risk premia; convenience yields
JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      E44 Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
      F44 International Business Cycles
      G15 International Financial Markets


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