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Project Citation: 

Helm, Ines, and Stuhler, Jan. Data and Code for: The Dynamic Response of Municipal Budgets to Revenue Shocks. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2024. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2024-08-29. https://doi.org/10.3886/E192924V1

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary We study the fiscal and tax response to intergovernmental grants, exploiting quasi-experimental variation within Germany’s fiscal equalization scheme triggered by Census revisions of population counts. Municipal budgets do not adjust instantly. Instead, spending and investments adapt within five years to revenue gains, while the adjustment to losses is more rapid. Yet, the long-run response is symmetric. The tax response is particularly slow, stretching over more than a decade. Well-known empirical “anomalies” such as the so-called flypaper effect may thus reflect a short-run phenomenon, while long-run fiscal behavior appears more consistent with standard theories of fiscal federalism.
Funding Sources:  View help for Funding Sources Thyssen Foundation; Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación; Comunidad de Madrid

Scope of Project

Subject Terms:  View help for Subject Terms fiscal federalism; intergovernmental grants; fiscal equalization; government spending; local taxation; census shock; flypaper effect
JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      E62 Fiscal Policy
      H71 State and Local Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue
      H72 State and Local Budget and Expenditures
      H77 Intergovernmental Relations; Federalism; Secession
Geographic Coverage:  View help for Geographic Coverage Germany
Time Period(s):  View help for Time Period(s) 1983 – 2000
Collection Date(s):  View help for Collection Date(s) 9/1/2018 – 9/30/2018 (main data has been initially collected around September 2018)
Universe:  View help for Universe municipalities in Bavaria, Baden-Wuerttemberg, Hessia, North-Rhine Westphalia, Lower Saxony
Data Type(s):  View help for Data Type(s) administrative records data; aggregate data


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