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How Low Income Expectations Affect Student Loan Repayment Plan Choice: Survey Evidence from College Seniors
Principal Investigator(s): View help for Principal Investigator(s) Joshua Brownstein, Michigan State University; Scott Imberman, Michigan State University
Version: View help for Version V8
Version Title: View help for Version Title Updated paper based on feedback from journal referees.
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Project Citation:
Project Description
Income-driven repayment plans lower required payments for student loan borrowers when their income decreases. This helps to reduce student loan defaults. Despite universal availability, only a minority of student loan borrowers in the U.S. are in an income-driven repayment plan. I test whether a student’s choice of repayment plan is related to their expectations of earning a low income by fielding a web survey where students are randomly shown one of two types of information about post-college incomes. I use which treatment a student sees as an instrument for their low-income expectations. While the estimates for the full sample are insignificant, I find that increasing low-income expectation decreases the probability a student prefers an income-driven repayment plan. The more tailored income information significantly increases students’ low-income expectations but causes insignificant declines in choosing the income-driven repayment plan. I conclude that increasing students’ low-income expectations is unlikely to increase take up of income-driven repayment plans.
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