Data and Code for: Measuring Inflation Expectations in Interwar Britain
Principal Investigator(s): View help for Principal Investigator(s) Jason lennard, London School of Economics
Version: View help for Version V1
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Project Citation:
lennard, Jason. Data and Code for: Measuring Inflation Expectations in Interwar Britain. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2022-09-06. https://doi.org/10.3886/E179361V1
Project Description
Summary:
View help for Summary
What caused the recovery
from the British Great Depression? A leading explanation - the “expectations
channel” - suggests that a shift in expected inflation lowered real interest
rates and stimulated consumption and investment. However, few studies have measured,
or tested the economic consequences of, inflation expectations. In this paper,
we collect high-frequency information from primary and secondary sources to measure
expected inflation in the United Kingdom between the wars. A VAR model suggests
that inflation expectations were an important source of the early stages of economic
recovery in interwar Britain.
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