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Project Citation: 

Uribe, Martin. Data and Code for: The Neo-Fisher Effect: Econometric Evidence from Empirical and Optimizing  Models. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2022. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2022-06-24. https://doi.org/10.3886/E126661V1

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary
This paper assesses the presence and importance of the neo-Fisher effect in postwar data.  It formulates and estimates an empirical and a new Keynesian model driven by stationary and nonstationary monetary and real shocks. In accordance with conventional wisdom, temporary increases in the nominal interest rate are estimated to cause decreases in inflation and output. The main finding of the paper is that permanent monetary shocks that increase the nominal interest rate and inflation in the long run cause in the short run increases in interest rates, inflation, and output, and explain about 45 percent  of inflation changes.

Scope of Project

Subject Terms:  View help for Subject Terms NeoFisher Effect; Monetary POlicy; Reflation; Inflation Target Shocks
JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      E52 Monetary Policy


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