Data and Code for: The Demographic Effects of Dodging the Vietnam Draft

Principal Investigator(s): View help for Principal Investigator(s) Martha Bailey, University of California-Los Angeles; Eric Chyn, Dartmouth University

Version: View help for Version V1

Name	File Type	Size	Last Modified
BaileyChyn_README.docx	application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.wordprocessingml.document	19.7 KB	08/26/2020 04:31:PM
BaileyChyn_README.pdf	application/pdf	107.9 KB	09/16/2020 10:25:AM
Bailey_Chyn_PP_Fig1-3_Data.xlsx	application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.spreadsheetml.sheet	39.3 KB	08/27/2020 12:39:PM
Bailey_Chyn_PP_Fig4-5_Data.xlsx	application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.spreadsheetml.sheet	27.2 KB	08/16/2020 03:55:PM
Bailey_Chyn_PP_Fig6-7_Data.xlsx	application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.spreadsheetml.sheet	24.8 KB	08/16/2020 03:55:PM
estimate_counterfactual_trends_final.do	text/x-stata-syntax	2 KB	08/27/2020 12:25:PM
nat5580_3.dta	application/x-stata	356.7 KB	08/26/2020 04:31:PM

Project Citation:

Bailey, Martha, and Chyn, Eric. Data and Code for: The Demographic Effects of Dodging the Vietnam Draft. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2020. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2020-10-05. https://doi.org/10.3886/E120800V1

Project Description

Summary:

This paper provides time series evidence that the availability of hardship deferments led to large increases in U.S. fertility rates in the late 1960s, producing a fertility notch driven by elevated numbers of first births (hardship deferments required one child) among women in their early twenties (likely to be partnered with draft-eligible men). Following President Nixon’s Executive Order eliminating paternity as grounds for hardship in April 1970, fertility rates plummeted—especially for women who were likely to be partnered with draft-age men. We conclude by quantifying counterfactual fertility rates and a discussion of how these findings impact interpretations of the sharp decline in U.S. fertility rates after 1970.

Scope of Project

Subject Terms: Vietnam War; deferment; paternity

JEL Classification:
      H56 National Security and War
      J13 Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
      J16 Economics of Gender; Non-labor Discrimination

Geographic Coverage: United States

Time Period(s): 1965 – 1970

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Published Versions

V1 [2020-10-05]

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