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Project Citation: 

Hemous, David , and Olsen, Morten. Data and Code for: The Rise of the Machines: Automation, Horizontal Innovation and Income Inequality. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2021. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2021-12-17. https://doi.org/10.3886/E120390V1

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary
We build an endogenous growth model with automation (the replacement of low-skill workers with machines) and horizontal innovation (the creation of new products). Over time, the share of automation innovations endogenously increases through an increase in low-skill wages, leading to an increase in the skill premium and a decline in the labor share. We calibrate the model to the US economy and show that it quantitatively replicates the paths of the skill premium, the labor share and labor productivity. Our model offers a new perspective on recent trends in the income distribution by showing that they can be explained endogenously.

Scope of Project

Subject Terms:  View help for Subject Terms Automation; Directed Technical Change; Income Inequality
JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      E23 Macroeconomics: Production
      E25 Aggregate Factor Income Distribution
      O31 Innovation and Invention: Processes and Incentives
      O33 Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes
      O41 One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models
Geographic Coverage:  View help for Geographic Coverage United States
Time Period(s):  View help for Time Period(s) 1963 – 2012
Data Type(s):  View help for Data Type(s) aggregate data; census/enumeration data; survey data


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