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Project Citation: 

Piveteau, Paul. Data and Code for: An Empirical Dynamic Model of Trade with Consumer Accumulation. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2021. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2021-10-28.

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary This paper develops a dynamic structural model of trade in which firms slowly accumulate consumers in foreign markets. Estimating the model using export data from individual firms and a particle Markov chain Monte Carlo estimator, the model predicts lower survival rates for new exporters and estimates low entry costs of exporting - less than half of those estimated in the absence of consumer accumulation. Using simulations and out-of-sample predictions, I show that the introduction of such frictions and the reduction in estimated entry costs allow the model to match important facts regarding the aggregate response of international trade to shocks.

Scope of Project

Subject Terms:  View help for Subject Terms international trade
JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      F14 Empirical Studies of Trade
      F17 Trade: Forecasting and Simulation
      L20 Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior: General

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