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Project Citation: 

Kirchler, Michael, Huber, Jürgen, and Stöckl, Thomas. Replication data for: Thar She Bursts: Reducing Confusion Reduces Bubbles. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2012. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2019-12-06. https://doi.org/10.3886/E116103V1

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary To explore why bubbles frequently emerge in the experimental asset market model of Smith, Suchanek, and Williams (1988), we vary the fundamental value process (constant or declining) and the cash-to-asset value ratio (constant or increasing). We observe high mispricing in treatments with a declining fundamental value, while overvaluation emerges when coupled with an increasing C/A ratio. A questionnaire reveals that the declining fundamental value process confuses subjects, as they expect the fundamental value to stay constant. Running the experiment with a different context ("stocks of a depletable gold mine" instead of "stocks") significantly reduces mispricing and overvaluation as it reduces confusion. (JEL C91, D14, G11, G12)

Scope of Project

JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      C91 Design of Experiments: Laboratory, Individual
      D14 Household Saving; Personal Finance
      G11 Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
      G12 Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates


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