Replication data for: Economic Shocks and Conflict: Evidence from Commodity Prices
Principal Investigator(s): View help for Principal Investigator(s) Samuel Bazzi; Christopher Blattman
Version: View help for Version V1
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| BazziBlattman-Replication-Final | 10/12/2019 10:03:PM | ||
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text/plain | 14.6 KB | 10/12/2019 06:03:PM |
Project Citation:
Bazzi, Samuel, and Blattman, Christopher. Replication data for: Economic Shocks and Conflict: Evidence from Commodity Prices. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2014. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2019-10-12. https://doi.org/10.3886/E114306V1
Project Description
Summary:
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Higher national incomes are correlated with political stability. Is this
relationship causal? We test three theories linking income to conflict
with new data on export price shocks. Price shocks have no effect on
new conflict, even large shocks in high-risk nations. Rising prices,
however, weakly lead to shorter, less deadly wars. This evidence
contradicts the theory that rising state revenues incentivize state
capture, but supports the idea that rising revenues improve counterinsurgency capacity and reduce individual incentives to fight in
existing conflicts. Conflict onset and continuation follow different
processes. Ignoring this time dependence generates mistaken
conclusions about income and instability.
Scope of Project
JEL Classification:
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D72 Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
D74 Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions
O13 Economic Development: Agriculture; Natural Resources; Energy; Environment; Other Primary Products
O17 Formal and Informal Sectors; Shadow Economy; Institutional Arrangements
O19 International Linkages to Development; Role of International Organizations
Q02 Commodity Markets
Q34 Natural Resources and Domestic and International Conflicts
D72 Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
D74 Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions
O13 Economic Development: Agriculture; Natural Resources; Energy; Environment; Other Primary Products
O17 Formal and Informal Sectors; Shadow Economy; Institutional Arrangements
O19 International Linkages to Development; Role of International Organizations
Q02 Commodity Markets
Q34 Natural Resources and Domestic and International Conflicts
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