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Project Citation: 

Cavallo, Alberto, Cruces, Guillermo, and Perez-Truglia, Ricardo. Replication data for: Inflation Expectations, Learning, and Supermarket Prices: Evidence from Survey Experiments. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2017. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2019-10-12. https://doi.org/10.3886/E114118V1

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary Information frictions play a central role in the formation of household inflation expectations, but there is no consensus about their origins. We address this question with novel evidence from survey experiments. We document two main findings. First, individuals in low inflation contexts have significantly weaker priors about the inflation rate. This finding suggests that rational inattention may be an important source of information frictions. Second, cognitive limitations also appear to be a source of information frictions: even when information about inflation statistics is available, individuals still place a significant weight on inaccurate sources of information, such as their memories of the price changes of the supermarket products they purchase. We discuss the implications of these findings for macroeconomic models and policymaking.

Scope of Project

JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      D83 Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
      D84 Expectations; Speculations
      E31 Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
      L11 Production, Pricing, and Market Structure; Size Distribution of Firms
      L81 Retail and Wholesale Trade; e-Commerce
      O11 Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development


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