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Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary This paper studies how demographic variation affects the aggregate household saving rate. We focus on China because it is experiencing an historic demographic transition and has had a massive increase in household saving. We conduct a quantitative investigation using a structural overlapping generations model that incorporates parental care through support for dependent children and financial transfers to retirees. The saving decisions in the parameterized model mimic many of the features observed in the Chinese household saving rate time series from 1955 to 2009. Demographic change alone accounts for over half of the saving rate increase. (JEL D12, D91, E21, J11, O12, O16, P36)

Scope of Project

JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      D12 Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
      D91 Micro-Based Behavioral Economics: Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making
      E21 Macroeconomics: Consumption; Saving; Wealth
      J11 Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
      O12 Microeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
      O16 Economic Development: Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
      P36 Socialist Institutions and Their Transitions: Consumer Economics; Health; Education and Training: Welfare, Income, Wealth, and Poverty
Geographic Coverage:  View help for Geographic Coverage China
Data Type(s):  View help for Data Type(s) [survey data, administrative records data, census/enumeration data, aggregate data]

Methodology

Unit(s) of Observation:  View help for Unit(s) of Observation Country, Household,

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