Replication data for: Habit Formation in Voting: Evidence from Rainy Elections

Principal Investigator(s): View help for Principal Investigator(s) Thomas Fujiwara; Kyle Meng; Tom Vogl

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Project Citation:

Fujiwara, Thomas, Meng, Kyle, and Vogl, Tom. Replication data for: Habit Formation in Voting: Evidence from Rainy Elections. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2016. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2019-10-12. https://doi.org/10.3886/E113627V1

Project Description

Summary: We estimate habit formation in voting--the effect of past on current turnout--by exploiting transitory voting cost shocks. Using county-level data on US presidential elections from 1952-2012, we find that rainfall on current and past election days reduces voter turnout. Our estimates imply that a 1-point decrease in past turnout lowers current turnout by 0.6-1.0 points. Further analyses suggest that habit formation operates by reinforcing the direct consumption value of voting and that our estimates may be amplified by social spillovers.

Scope of Project

JEL Classification:
      D72 Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
      D83 Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
      N42 Economic History: Government, War, Law, International Relations, and Regulation: U.S.; Canada: 1913-

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V1 [2019-10-12]

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