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Common Trends Test.do text/plain 3.7 KB 07/23/2025 05:18:AM
DID Test.do text/plain 938 bytes 07/23/2025 04:35:AM
Data Correlation Test.do text/plain 6.8 KB 07/23/2025 02:01:AM
The Dataset of Common Trends Test.dta application/x-stata-dta 79 KB 07/23/2025 01:45:AM
The Dataset of Correlation Test.dta application/x-stata-dta 22.5 KB 07/23/2025 02:01:AM
The Dataset of DID.dta application/x-stata-dta 85.4 KB 07/23/2025 04:41:AM

Project Citation: 

Feng, Zeyu. Impact of Online Lottery Sales Prohibition on the Structure of Lottery Consumers: A Time Cost Perspective in China. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2025-07-23. https://doi.org/10.3886/E236845V1

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary
Lottery public welfare funds constitute a significant source of government fiscal revenue. Consequently, it is of crucial importance to objectively analyze the impact of purchasing convenience on the lottery industry. This study employs the discrete-time dynamic optimization Bellman equation to examine the influence of time costs associated with purchasing lottery tickets on consumer demand across different income groups, considering various types of lottery tickets. Utilizing panel data spanning from 2007 to 2021 from 30 provinces in China, the Difference-in-Differences(DID) method is employed to assess the effects of the ban on online lottery sales, implemented in 2015, on the sales of welfare and sports lottery tickets in distinct income regions. The findings indicate that the prohibition of online lottery sales leads to a more rapid decline in the demand for betting-lottery tickets in high-income areas compared to low-income areas, while no significant variation in the rate of decline in demand for lotto-lottery tickets is observed. This trend hampers the improvement of the lottery consumer structure and overall sales. The research outcomes furnish valuable references for enhancing the structure of lottery consumers and augmenting sales within the lottery industry.


Scope of Project

Subject Terms:  View help for Subject Terms Lottery sales; Welfare lottery; Sports lottery
Geographic Coverage:  View help for Geographic Coverage 30 provinces of China (excluding Tibet Autonomous Region, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, Macau Special Administrative Region, and Taiwan Region)
Time Period(s):  View help for Time Period(s) 1/1/2007 – 12/31/2021
Collection Date(s):  View help for Collection Date(s) 3/10/2022 – 10/27/2024
Universe:  View help for Universe The universe of the dataset encompasses the lottery sales systems and related socioeconomic contexts across 30 provinces in China (excluding the Tibet Autonomous Region, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, Macau Special Administrative Region, and Taiwan Region) during the period 2007–2021. 
Collection Notes:  View help for Collection Notes The data in this collection is derived from multiple publicly available sources, including official statistical yearbooks (China Statistical Yearbook), government agencies (National Bureau of Statistics, People’s Bank of China), macroeconomic databases (CEID), and lottery regulatory authorities, ensuring the authenticity and reliability of the raw data.

Methodology

Geographic Unit:  View help for Geographic Unit Province

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