Name File Type Size Last Modified
  climate-migration-master 06/07/2025 12:25:PM

Project Citation: 

Baylis, Patrick, Bharadwaj, Prashant, Mullins, Jamie T., and Obradovich, Nick. Replication Package for “Climate and Migration in the United States.” Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2025-06-07. https://doi.org/10.3886/E232122V1

Project Description

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Replication code and data for "Climate and Migration in the United States". 

Paper abstract: We study whether households engage in climate-related migration in the United States, a country where most of the population does not regularly experience natural disasters or work in climate-exposed industries. With comprehensive, long-run data from both the Census and from tax filings, we document that warm temperatures induce net out-migration, while cooler temperatures do not. By comparing estimates from models using different lengths of temporal variation, we further show that migration is a medium-run response to high temperatures: decadal and longer shifts in weather have larger annualized impacts than year-over-year changes. Finally, comparisons across county types suggest amenity value is an important mechanism behind climate-related migration in the United States.





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