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Project Citation: 

Lerche, Adrian. Data and Code for: Direct and Indirect Effects of Investment Tax Incentives. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2025. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2025-07-14. https://doi.org/10.3886/E225721V1

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary
This paper estimates the direct effects and indirect spillover effects of investment tax credits on firms. Exploiting a differential tax credit rate change by firm size in the German manufacturing sector, I find that lowering a firm’s investment cost by 7.6 percent increases its capital stock by 17.7 percent and employment by 12.0 percent. Positive local spillovers generate one additional manu- facturing job for each directly created job, are strongest between firms in industries connected through input-output linkages, and arise within distances of five kilometers. Firms dependent on local consumer demand also increase employment, while within-industry spillovers generate small negative effects.

Scope of Project

Subject Terms:  View help for Subject Terms Investment Tax Incentives; Capital Stock; Labor Demand; General Equilibrium Spillovers
JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      D22 Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis
      H25 Business Taxes and Subsidies including sales and value-added (VAT)
      H32 Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents: Firm
      J23 Labor Demand
      R11 Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
Geographic Coverage:  View help for Geographic Coverage Germany
Time Period(s):  View help for Time Period(s) 1995 – 2004
Universe:  View help for Universe German firms in the manufacturing and non-manufacturing sector 
Data Type(s):  View help for Data Type(s) administrative records data; aggregate data; other; text

Methodology

Unit(s) of Observation:  View help for Unit(s) of Observation Firms

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