Name File Type Size Last Modified
0001_History.mat Unknown 247.5 KB 06/15/2024 06:18:PM
DSGE_IRF_CI_.mat Unknown 11.1 KB 06/15/2024 06:18:PM
FFR.m Unknown 4.7 KB 06/15/2024 06:18:PM
Theta_EX.m Unknown 300 bytes 06/15/2024 06:18:PM
US_level.m Unknown 20.8 KB 06/15/2024 06:18:PM
bfgsi.m text/x-matlab 685 bytes 06/15/2024 06:18:PM
bound_max.m Unknown 3.1 KB 06/15/2024 06:18:PM
convergence_test.m text/x-matlab 2.5 KB 06/15/2024 06:18:PM
csminit.m Unknown 5.7 KB 06/15/2024 06:18:PM
csminwel.m Unknown 9.5 KB 06/15/2024 06:18:PM
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Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary Agents’ beliefs regarding future monetary policy changes influence their current decisions. However, these expectations may not always materialize in the future. This study shows that the monetary fundamental shocks (exogenous changes consistent with expectations) stabilize output and inflation, while the noise shocks (biased beliefs that fail to be realized in the future) increase economic fluctuations. Moreover, factors that amplify financial frictions – the spread between the capital return of entrepreneurs and the risk-free interest rate of a central bank – can increase anticipation effects associated with these two types of monetary policy shocks.

Scope of Project

Subject Terms:  View help for Subject Terms monetary policy; imperfect information; business fluctuations
JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      D83 Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
      E30 Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data)
      E52 Monetary Policy
Manuscript Number:  View help for Manuscript Number ECIN-Nov-2023-0531.R2
Geographic Coverage:  View help for Geographic Coverage United States
Data Type(s):  View help for Data Type(s) observational data; program source code


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