Data and Code for: Arbitraging Covered Interest-Rate Parity Deviations and Bank Lending
Principal Investigator(s): View help for Principal Investigator(s) Lorena Keller, University of Pennsylvania. The Wharton School
Version: View help for Version V1
Name | File Type | Size | Last Modified |
---|---|---|---|
cip_replication_package_noconfidential | 05/26/2024 03:49:PM |
Project Citation:
Keller, Lorena. Data and Code for: Arbitraging Covered Interest-Rate Parity Deviations and Bank Lending. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2024. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2024-07-30. https://doi.org/10.3886/E199262V1
Project Description
Summary:
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I propose and test a new channel through which covered interest-rate parity (CIP) deviations can affect bank lending in emerging economies. I argue that when CIP deviations exist, banks attempt to arbitrage them. To do so, banks must borrow in a particular currency. When this currency is scarce, bank lending in the currency required to arbitrage decreases, while they use this currency in their arbitrage activities. I test this channel by exploiting differences in the abilities of Peruvian banks to arbitrage CIP deviations. I find evidence that supports the proposed channel.
Scope of Project
Subject Terms:
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emerging markets;
covered interest rate parity;
CIP;
banking;
bank lending;
currency risk;
currency mismatch
JEL Classification:
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F31 Foreign Exchange
F41 Open Economy Macroeconomics
G15 International Financial Markets
F31 Foreign Exchange
F41 Open Economy Macroeconomics
G15 International Financial Markets
Geographic Coverage:
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Peru
Time Period(s):
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2/2005 – 2/2013;
2/2005 – 12/2007;
8/2009 – 2/2013;
2/2005 – 8/2023
Universe:
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Universe of banks in Peru
Data Type(s):
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administrative records data
Collection Notes:
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Most of the data is confidential administrative data obtained from the Peruvian bank regulator, Superintendencia de Banca y Seguros (SBS).
Given the instructions for the repository, I am only including the non-confidential data. However, I obtained permission from the SBS to share my data with the data editor of the AER. The condition under which I obtained such permission is that the confidential data I share with the data editor is exclusively for replication purposes of this paper. The data cannot be shared, published or used for any other means that for the replication.
I will contact the editor to ask how I can share this data with the data editor.
Given the instructions for the repository, I am only including the non-confidential data. However, I obtained permission from the SBS to share my data with the data editor of the AER. The condition under which I obtained such permission is that the confidential data I share with the data editor is exclusively for replication purposes of this paper. The data cannot be shared, published or used for any other means that for the replication.
I will contact the editor to ask how I can share this data with the data editor.
Methodology
Sampling:
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Most of the data pertains to reports that banks in Peru need to send to the Peruvian bank regulator. This includes the universe of banks in Peru.
Regarding bank lending to firms, however, the data only includes firms considered larger or equal to "Medium" as per the Superintendencia de Banca y Seguros (SBS) guidelines.
Regarding bank lending to firms, however, the data only includes firms considered larger or equal to "Medium" as per the Superintendencia de Banca y Seguros (SBS) guidelines.
Data Source:
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Below is the data sources, both confidential and non-confidential. The replication package I am uploading only has the non-confidential data (as per the instructions). However, as previously mentioned, I can share the confidential data with the data editor.
- Banco Central de Chile, Base de Datos Estadísticos (BDE) - Tasas de interés, https://si3.bcentral.cl/Siete/ES/Siete/Cuadro/CAP_TASA_INTERES/MN_TASA_INTERES_09/TSF_TCOLD/T41 , Last updated November 2 2023
- Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, 2006, Circulares– Disposiciones de Encaje, Data on reserve requirements before 2006, https://www.bcrp.gob.pe/transparencia/datos-generales/normas-emitidas/circulares.html
- Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, Cuadros de Nota Informativa Semanal – Situacion de Encaje de Empresas Bancarias, https://www.bcrp.gob.pe/docs/Estadisticas/Cuadros-Estadisticos/cuadro-018.xlsx, Last updated April 1 2015
- Banco Central de Reserva del Perú Interbancaria S/, https://estadisticas.bcrp.gob.pe/estadisticas/series/diarias/resultados/PD04692MD/html , Last updated Sep 12 2023
- Banco Central de Reserva del Perú Interbancaria US$, https://estadisticas.bcrp.gob.pe/estadisticas/series/diarias/resultados/PD04693MD/html, Last updated Sep 12 2023
- Banco de México, Sistema de Información Económica, Tasas de Interés en el Mercado de Dinero (CF101), https://www.banxico.org.mx/SieInternet/consultarDirectorioInternetAction.do?sector=18&accion=consult... , Last updated September 9 2020
- Bloomberg (2020), “Currencies and Money Markets”. Downloaded in various occasions. Mid-price currencies and money market first downloaded Aug 6 2020. Bid-ask prices downloaded September 16 2020. For robustness, merged with update from Aug 11 2023.
- Choy, Marylin & Chang, Giancarlo, 2014. “Medidas macroprudenciales aplicadas en el Perú”, Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 27, pages 25-50. Data on reserve requirements 2006-2013: Cuadro 3: Requerimientos de encaje 2006 a 2013.
- Jules H. van Binsbergen, William F. Diamond, Marco Grotteria, Risk-free Interest Rates Data, https://www.dropbox.com/s/4azld4rt7twjiny/box_gov_07302019.xlsx?e=1&dl=0
- Superintendencia de Banca y Seguros (SBS), 2018, Anexos y Reportes. Last updated February 2018
- Superintendencia de Banca y Seguros (SBS), Información Estadística de Banca Múltiple, https://www.sbs.gob.pe/app/stats_net/stats/EstadisticaBoletinEstadistico.aspx?p=1, Last accessed December 2020
- Superintendencia de Banca y Seguros (SBS), Información Estadística de Empresas Financieras, https://www.sbs.gob.pe/app/stats_net/stats/EstadisticaBoletinEstadistico.aspx?p=2 , Last accessed December 2020
- Superintendencia de Banca y Seguros (SBS), Información Estadística de Cajas Municipales, https://www.sbs.gob.pe/app/stats_net/stats/EstadisticaBoletinEstadistico.aspx?p=3 , Last accessed December 2020
- Superintendencia de Banca y Seguros (SBS), Información Estadística de Cajas Rurales, https://www.sbs.gob.pe/app/stats_net/stats/EstadisticaBoletinEstadistico.aspx?p=4 , Last accessed December 2020
- Superintendencia de Banca y Seguros (SBS), Tipo de Cambio Contable, https://www.sbs.gob.pe/app/pp/SISTIP_PORTAL/Paginas/Publicacion/TipoCambioContable.aspx Appended data accessed December 4 2018 with an update downloaded February 2 2024
- Superintendencia Nacional de Aduanas y de Administración Tributaria (SUNAT), “Consulta Importador/ Exportador”, Last updated September 2016, www.aduanet.gob.pe/cl-ad-itconsultadwh/ieITS01Alias?accion=consultar&CG_consulta=1
Collection Mode(s):
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mixed mode
Unit(s) of Observation:
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bank-trade-month,
bank-firm-month,
bank-month
Geographic Unit:
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Peru
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