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  BEA 04/05/2024 03:13:PM
  BLS 04/05/2024 03:13:PM
  BarroLiao2020 04/05/2024 03:13:PM
  CountryCode 04/05/2024 03:13:PM
  DuImSchreger2020 04/05/2024 03:23:PM
  FRED 04/05/2024 03:23:PM
  Federal Reserve Board 04/05/2024 03:23:PM
  LaneMilesiFerretti2018 04/05/2024 03:23:PM
  OECD 04/05/2024 03:24:PM
  TIC 04/05/2024 03:24:PM

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary
We study a business cycle model of the international monetary system featuring a time-varying demand for safe dollar bonds, greater risk-bearing capacity in the U.S. than the rest of the world, and nominal rigidities.  A flight to safety generates a dollar appreciation and decline in global output.  Dollar bonds thus command a negative risk premium and the U.S. holds a levered portfolio of capital financed in dollars.  We quantify the effects of safety shocks and heterogeneity in risk-bearing capacity for global macroeconomic volatility; U.S. external adjustment; and policy transmission, as of dollar swap lines.

Scope of Project

Subject Terms:  View help for Subject Terms international monetary system; risk premia; convenience yields
JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      E44 Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
      F44 International Business Cycles
      G15 International Financial Markets


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