Data and Code for: Local Economic and Political Effects of Trade Deals: Evidence from NAFTA

Principal Investigator(s):  View help for Principal Investigator(s) Jiwon Choi, Brandeis University; Ilyana Kuziemko, Princeton University; Ebonya Washington, Columbia University; Gavin Wright, Stanford University

Version:  View help for Version V1

Name File Type Size Last Modified
  nafta_politics_replication_submission_PUBLIC 04/24/2024 01:04:PM

Project Citation: 

Choi, Jiwon, Kuziemko, Ilyana, Washington, Ebonya, and Wright, Gavin. Data and Code for: Local Economic and Political Effects of Trade Deals: Evidence from NAFTA. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2024. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2024-05-14. https://doi.org/10.3886/E195983V1

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary Data and Code for Local Economic and Political Effects of Trade Deals: Evidence from NAFTA.
Abstract: Why have white, less-educated voters left the Democratic Party? We highlight the role of the 1994 North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). In event-study analysis, we demonstrate that counties whose 1990 employment depended on industries vulnerable to NAFTA suffered large and persistent employment losses after its implementation. Voters in these counties (and protectionist voters regardless of geography) turned away from the party of President Clinton, who promoted the agreement. This shift is larger for whites (especially men and those without a college degree) and social conservatives, suggesting that racial identity and social-issue positions mediate reactions to economic policies.

Scope of Project

Subject Terms:  View help for Subject Terms trade agreements; labor markets; elections
JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      D72 Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
      F16 Trade and Labor Market Interactions
      H50 National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General
Geographic Coverage:  View help for Geographic Coverage United States
Time Period(s):  View help for Time Period(s) 1/1/1980 – 12/31/2016
Data Type(s):  View help for Data Type(s) aggregate data; census/enumeration data; observational data; other; program source code; survey data


Related Publications

Download this project

Published Versions

V1 [2024-05-14]

Export Metadata

Dublin Core

DDI 2.5

Report a Problem

Found a serious problem with the data, such as disclosure risk or copyrighted content? Let us know.

This material is distributed exactly as it arrived from the data depositor. ICPSR has not checked or processed this material. Users should consult the investigator(s) if further information is desired.