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Project Citation: 

Rohner, Dominic, and Premand, Patrick. Data and Code for: “Cash and Conflict: Large-Scale Experimental Evidence from Niger.” Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2024. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2024-02-15. https://doi.org/10.3886/E192721V1

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary Conflict undermines development, while adverse economic shocks, in turn, can increase conflict risk. Policy interventions such as cash transfers could attenuate conflict risk by raising poor households’ opportunity costs. However, cash transfers may also trigger looting, and expanding government programs may attract attacks to undermine state legitimacy. We study the net effect across these forces based on the large-scale randomization of a government-led cash transfer program and geo-referenced conflict events. Cash transfers did not yield greater pacification but—if anything—triggered a short-term increase in conflict events (by 0.63 percentage point), substantially driven by terrorist attacks by foreign rebel groups.

Scope of Project

JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      D74 Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions
      I38 Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty: Government Programs; Provision and Effects of Welfare Programs
      O17 Formal and Informal Sectors; Shadow Economy; Institutional Arrangements
Geographic Coverage:  View help for Geographic Coverage Niger
Time Period(s):  View help for Time Period(s) 2006 – 2021
Universe:  View help for Universe Villages in Niger
Data Type(s):  View help for Data Type(s) administrative records data; aggregate data

Methodology

Unit(s) of Observation:  View help for Unit(s) of Observation Village
Geographic Unit:  View help for Geographic Unit Village

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