Data and Code for "Did U.S. Politicians Expect the China Shock?""

Principal Investigator(s): View help for Principal Investigator(s) Matilde Bombardini, UC Berkeley Haas School of Business; Bingjing Li, HKU Business School; Francesco Trebbi, UC Berkeley Haas School of Business

Version: View help for Version V1

Name	File Type	Size	Last Modified
Replication Package_Oct2022			11/08/2022 04:00:PM

Project Citation:

Bombardini, Matilde, Li, Bingjing, and Trebbi, Francesco. Data and Code for “Did U.S. Politicians Expect the China Shock?”". Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2022. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2022-12-07. https://doi.org/10.3886/E174541V1

Project Description

Summary:

Information sets, expectations, and preferences of politicians are fundamental, but unobserved determinants of their policy choices. Employing repeated votes in the U.S. House of Representatives on China's Normal Trade Relations status during the two decades straddling China's WTO accession, we apply a moment inequality approach designed to deliver consistent estimates under weak informational assumptions on the information sets of members of Congress. This methodology offers a robust way to test hypotheses about what information politicians have at the time of their decision and to estimate the weight that constituents, ideology, and other factors have in policy making and voting.

Funding Sources: Canadian Institute for Advanced Research; Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council (Canada)

Scope of Project

Subject Terms: China Schock; Congressional Voting; Moment Inequality; Trade Policy

JEL Classification:
D72 Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
F13 Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations

Geographic Coverage: United States

Time Period(s): 1990 – 2001

Methodology

Unit(s) of Observation: Member of Congress

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Published Versions

V1 [2022-12-07]

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