Data and Code for "Did U.S. Politicians Expect the China Shock?""
Principal Investigator(s): View help for Principal Investigator(s) Matilde Bombardini, UC Berkeley Haas School of Business; Bingjing Li, HKU Business School; Francesco Trebbi, UC Berkeley Haas School of Business
Version: View help for Version V1
Name | File Type | Size | Last Modified |
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Replication Package_Oct2022 | 11/08/2022 04:00:PM |
Project Citation:
Project Description
Information sets, expectations, and preferences of politicians are fundamental, but unobserved determinants of their policy choices. Employing repeated votes in the U.S. House of Representatives on China's Normal Trade Relations status during the two decades straddling China's WTO accession, we apply a moment inequality approach designed to deliver consistent estimates under weak informational assumptions on the information sets of members of Congress. This methodology offers a robust way to test hypotheses about what information politicians have at the time of their decision and to estimate the weight that constituents, ideology, and other factors have in policy making and voting.
Scope of Project
D72 Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
F13 Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
Methodology
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