Name File Type Size Last Modified
  BEA Input Output accounts 10/20/2022 10:53:AM
  BEA industry accounts 10/20/2022 10:53:AM
  BEA national aggregates 10/20/2022 10:53:AM
  BLS producer price data 10/20/2022 10:53:AM
  Business Dynamics Statistics 10/20/2022 10:53:AM
  Export data 10/20/2022 10:53:AM
  FRB utilization data 10/20/2022 10:53:AM
  Publicly Available QSPC 10/20/2022 10:53:AM
  UN National Accounts Data 10/20/2022 10:53:AM
  main analysis 10/20/2022 10:53:AM

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary We provide evidence that industries' supply curves are convex. To guide our empirical analysis, we develop a model in which capacity constraints at the firm level generate supply curves that are convex in logs at the industry level. The industry's capacity utilization rate is a sufficient statistic for the supply elasticity. Using data on capacity utilization and three different instruments, we estimate the supply curve and find robust evidence for an economically sizable degree of convexity. The nonlinearity we identify has several macroeconomic implications, including that responses to shocks are state-dependent and that the Phillips curve is convex.

Scope of Project

Subject Terms:  View help for Subject Terms Slack; Utilization; Capacity; Supply Curves; State-Dependence; Fiscal Policy; Monetary Policy
JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      E22 Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
      E23 Macroeconomics: Production
      E32 Business Fluctuations; Cycles
      E52 Monetary Policy
      E62 Fiscal Policy
Geographic Coverage:  View help for Geographic Coverage USA
Universe:  View help for Universe US 3-digit NAICS Manufacturing Industries
Data Type(s):  View help for Data Type(s) aggregate data


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