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Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary
This paper investigates whether the anti-scientific rhetoric of modern populists can induce followers to engage in risky behavior. We gather electoral information, credit card expenses, and geo-localized mobile phone data for approximately 60 million devices in Brazil. After the president publicly dismissed the risks of the COVID-19 pandemic and challenged scientific recommendations, social distancing in pro-government localities declined. Consistently, credit card expenses increased immediately. Results are driven by localities with higher media penetration levels, active Twitter accounts, and a larger proportion of Evangelical Christians, a critical electoral group.

Scope of Project

Subject Terms:  View help for Subject Terms Populism; Persuasion; Leadership; Risky Behavior; Health
JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      D10 Household Behavior: General
      D72 Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
      I12 Health Behavior
      I31 General Welfare; Well-Being
Geographic Coverage:  View help for Geographic Coverage Brazil
Data Type(s):  View help for Data Type(s) aggregate data; census/enumeration data; event/transaction data; geographic information system (GIS) data; observational data


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