Data and Code for: Conflict and Inter-Group Trade: Evidence from the 2014 Russia-Ukraine Crisis

Principal Investigator(s): View help for Principal Investigator(s) Vasily Korovkin, CERGE-EI; Alexey Makarin, MIT Sloan School of Management

Version: View help for Version V1

Name	File Type	Size	Last Modified
ado			04/17/2022 12:08:PM
analysis			04/17/2022 12:09:PM
cleaning			07/28/2022 01:59:PM
install_stata.do	text/plain	1.4 KB	07/27/2022 07:08:AM
master_file.do	text/plain	153 bytes	07/27/2022 07:56:AM
pathnames.do	text/plain	254 bytes	04/17/2022 08:17:AM

Citation:

Korovkin, Vasily, and Makarin, Alexey. Data and Code for: Conflict and Inter-Group Trade: Evidence from the 2014 Russia-Ukraine Crisis: Code. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2022. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2022-12-07. https://doi.org/10.3886/E167921V1-154621

To view the citation for the overall project, see http://doi.org/10.3886/E167921V1.

Project Description

Summary:

Does armed conflict reduce trade, even in noncombat areas, through the destruction of inter-group social capital? We analyze Ukrainian trade transactions before and after the 2014 Russia-Ukraine conflict. In a difference-in-differences framework, we find that Ukrainian firms from districts with fewer ethnic Russians experienced a deeper decline in trade with Russia. This decline is economically significant, persistent, and can be explained by erosion of inter-group trust. Affected Ukrainian firms suffered a decrease in performance and diverted trade to other countries. Our results suggest that, through social effects, conflict can be economically damaging, even away from combat areas.

Scope of Project

Subject Terms: Conflict; Intergroup tensions; international trade

JEL Classification:
      D22 Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis
      D74 Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions
      F14 Empirical Studies of Trade
      F51 International Conflicts; Negotiations; Sanctions
      H56 National Security and War

Geographic Coverage: Ukraine, Russia

Data Type(s): administrative records data

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Published Versions

V1 [2022-12-07]

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DDI 2.5

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