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Project Citation: 

Freeman, Richard, Ganguli, Ina , and Handel, Michael. Data and Code for “Within Occupation Changes Dominate Changes in What Workers Do: A Shift-Share Decomposition, 2005-2015.” Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2020. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2020-09-15. https://doi.org/10.3886/E120830V1

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary
This paper measures aggregate changes in job characteristics in the U.S. from 2005 to 2015, and decomposes those changes into components representing shifts within occupations and changes in occupational employment shares. Per our title, within-occupation changes dominate, raising doubts about the ability of projections based on expected changes in the occupational composition of employment to capture the likely future of work. Indeed, our data show only weak relationships between automatability, repetitiveness, and other job attributes and changes in occupational employment. The results suggest that analysts give greater attention to within-occupation impacts of technology in assessing the future of work.

Funding Sources:  View help for Funding Sources Alfred P. Sloan Foundation (B-2017-9943-OWRR); IBM (7643026-01-1-1)

Scope of Project

Subject Terms:  View help for Subject Terms occupations; technological change; tasks; shift-share decomposition
JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      J21 Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
      J24 Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
      J60 Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers: General


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