Name File Type Size Last Modified
  Data_setup 09/17/2020 09:40:AM
  Tables_code 09/17/2020 09:40:AM
  Tables_data 09/17/2020 09:40:AM

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary Business credit lags GDP growth by about one year. This contributes to high leverage during recessions and slow deleveraging. We show that a model in which firms use risky long-term debt replicates this slow adjustment of firm debt. In the model, slow-moving debt has important effects for real activity. High levels of firm debt issued during expansions are only gradually reduced during recessions. This generates an adverse feedback loop between high default rates and low investment and thereby amplifies the downturn. Sluggish deleveraging slows down the recovery.

Scope of Project

Subject Terms:  View help for Subject Terms business cycles; firm financing; long-term debt
JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      E32 Business Fluctuations; Cycles
      E44 Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
      G32 Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
Geographic Coverage:  View help for Geographic Coverage United States


Related Publications

Published Versions

Export Metadata

Report a Problem

Found a serious problem with the data, such as disclosure risk or copyrighted content? Let us know.

This material is distributed exactly as it arrived from the data depositor. ICPSR has not checked or processed this material. Users should consult the investigator(s) if further information is desired.