Name File Type Size Last Modified
  Documentaion_AEJ_Macro 07/17/2020 06:29:PM

Project Citation: 

Johri, Alok. The Rise and Fall of India’s Relative Investment Price: A Tale of Policy Error and Reform. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2020. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2020-07-17. https://doi.org/10.3886/E120319V2

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary India's relative price of investment rose 44% from 1981 to 1991 and fell 26% from 1991 to 2006. We build a simple DGE model calibrated to Indian data in order to explore the impact of capital import substitution policies and their reform post-1991, in accounting for this rise and fall. Our model delivers a 23% rise before reform and a 31% fall thereafter. GDP per effective labor was 3% lower in 1991 compared to 1981 due to import restrictions on capital goods. Their removal and a 71 percentage point reduction in tariff rates raised GDP per effective labor permanently by 20%.
Funding Sources:  View help for Funding Sources Social Science and Humanities Research Council of Canada (435-2016-0708)

Scope of Project

JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      E17 General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
      E20 Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy: General (includes Measurement and Data)
      O11 Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development


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