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Project Citation: 

Garin, Julio, Pries, Michael J., and Sims, Eric R. Replication data for: The Relative Importance of Aggregate and Sectoral Shocks and the Changing Nature of Economic Fluctuations. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2018. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2019-12-07. https://doi.org/10.3886/E116397V1

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary A principal components decomposition of sectoral IP data reveals that the contribution of aggregate shocks to the variance of aggregate output declined from about 70 percent in the period 1967–1983 to about 30 percent after 1983. We develop an "islands" model with two sectors and costly labor reallocation to investigate how this change in the relative importance of shocks alters business cycle moments. A version of the model with relatively more important sectoral shocks results in a sizeable decline in the cyclicality of labor productivity and is consistent with changes in several other business cycle moments observed in the data.

Scope of Project

JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      E13 General Aggregative Models: Neoclassical
      E23 Macroeconomics: Production
      E24 Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
      E32 Business Fluctuations; Cycles
      J21 Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
      J24 Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity


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