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Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary We consider a linear panel event-study design in which unobserved confounds may be related both to the outcome and to the policy variable of interest. We provide sufficient conditions to identify the causal effect of the policy by exploiting covariates related to the policy only through the confounds. Our model implies a set of moment equations that are linear in parameters. The effect of the policy can be estimated by 2SLS, and causal inference is valid even when endogeneity leads to pre-event trends ("pre-trends") in the outcome. Alternative approaches perform poorly in our simulations.

Scope of Project

JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      C23 Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
      C26 Single Equation Models: Single Variables: Instrumental Variables (IV) Estimation


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