Name File Type Size Last Modified
January-2003.xlsx application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.spreadsheetml.sheet 656 KB 10/13/2019 01:49:AM
January-2004.xlsx application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.spreadsheetml.sheet 642.8 KB 10/13/2019 01:49:AM
January-2005.xlsx application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.spreadsheetml.sheet 626.2 KB 10/13/2019 01:49:AM
January-2006.xlsx application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.spreadsheetml.sheet 621.4 KB 10/13/2019 01:49:AM
January-2007.xlsx application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.spreadsheetml.sheet 630.9 KB 10/13/2019 01:48:AM
January-2008.xlsx application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.spreadsheetml.sheet 628.6 KB 10/13/2019 01:49:AM
January-2009.xlsx application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.spreadsheetml.sheet 612.1 KB 10/13/2019 01:49:AM
January-2010.xlsx application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.spreadsheetml.sheet 599 KB 10/13/2019 01:49:AM
January-2011.xlsx application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.spreadsheetml.sheet 576.2 KB 10/13/2019 01:49:AM
January-2012.xlsx application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.spreadsheetml.sheet 551.9 KB 10/13/2019 01:49:AM

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary In response to high-profile cases of police misconduct, reformers are calling for greater use of civilian allegations in identifying potential problem officers. This paper applies an Empirical Bayes framework to data on civilian allegations and civil rights litigation in Chicago to assess the predictive value of civilian allegations for serious future misconduct. We find a strong relationship between allegations and future civil rights litigation, especially for the very worst officers. The worst 1 percent of officers, as measured by civilian allegations, generate almost 5 times the number of payouts and over 4 times the total damage payouts in civil rights litigation. These findings suggest that intervention efforts could be fruitfully concentrated among a relatively small group.

Scope of Project

JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      H76 State and Local Government: Other Expenditure Categories
      K38 Human Rights Law; Gender Law
      K42 Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law


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