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Project Citation: 

Levin, Dan, Peck, James, and Ivanov, Asen. Replication data for: Separating Bayesian Updating from Non-Probabilistic Reasoning: An Experimental Investigation. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2016. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2019-10-12. https://doi.org/10.3886/E114331V1

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary Through a series of decision tasks involving colored cards, we provide separate measures of Bayesian updating and non-probabilistic reasoning skills. We apply these measures to (and are the first to study) a common-value Dutch auction. This format is more salient than the strategically equivalent first-price auction and silent Dutch formats in hinting that one should condition one's estimate of the value on having the highest bid. Both Bayesian updating skills and non-probabilistic reasoning skills are shown to help subjects correct for the winner's curse, as does the saliency of the active-clock Dutch format. (JEL D12, D44, D83)

Scope of Project

JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      D12 Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
      D44 Auctions
      D83 Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness


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