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Project Citation: 

Nakamura, Emi, Steinsson, Jón, Barro, Robert, and Ursúa, José. Replication data for: Crises and Recoveries in an Empirical Model of Consumption Disasters. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2013. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2019-10-12. https://doi.org/10.3886/E114277V1

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary We estimate an empirical model of consumption disasters using new data on consumption for 24 countries over more than 100 years, and study its implications for asset prices. The model allows for partial recoveries after disasters that unfold over multiple years. We find that roughly half of the drop in consumption due to disasters is subsequently reversed. Our model generates a sizable equity premium from disaster risk, but one that is substantially smaller than in simpler models. It implies that a large value of the intertemporal elasticity of substitution is necessary to explain stock-market crashes at the onset of disasters.

Scope of Project

JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      E21 Macroeconomics: Consumption; Saving; Wealth
      E32 Business Fluctuations; Cycles
      E44 Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
      G12 Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
      G14 Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading


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