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Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary We study the nature of sovereign credit risk using an extensive set of sovereign CDS data. We find that the majority of sovereign credit risk can be linked to global factors. A single principal component accounts for 64 percent of the variation in sovereign credit spreads. Furthermore, sovereign credit spreads are more related to the US stock and high-yield markets than they are to local economic measures. We decompose credit spreads into their risk premium and default risk components. On average, the risk premium represents about a third of the credit spread. (JEL F34, G15, O16, O19, P34)

Scope of Project

JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      F34 International Lending and Debt Problems
      G15 International Financial Markets
      O16 Economic Development: Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
      O19 International Linkages to Development; Role of International Organizations
      P34 Socialist Institutions and Their Transitions: Financial Economics


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