Replication data for: Do Poverty Traps Exist? Assessing the Evidence
Principal Investigator(s): View help for Principal Investigator(s) Aart Kraay; David McKenzie
Version: View help for Version V1
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Project Citation:
Kraay, Aart, and McKenzie, David. Replication data for: Do Poverty Traps Exist? Assessing the Evidence. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2014. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2019-10-12. https://doi.org/10.3886/E113928V1
Project Description
Summary:
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A "poverty trap" can be understood as a set of self-reinforcing mechanisms whereby countries start poor and remain poor: poverty begets poverty, so that current poverty is itself a direct cause of poverty in the future. The idea of a poverty trap has this striking implication for policy: much poverty is needless, in the sense that a different equilibrium is possible and one-time policy efforts to break the poverty trap may have lasting effects. But what does the modern evidence suggest about the extent to which poverty traps exist in practice and the underlying mechanisms that may be involved? The main mechanisms we examine include S-shaped savings functions at the country level; "big-push" theories of development based on coordination failures; hunger-based traps which rely on physical work capacity rising nonlinearly with food intake at low levels; and occupational poverty traps whereby poor individuals who start businesses that are too small will be trapped earning subsistence returns. We conclude that these types of poverty traps are rare and largely limited to remote or otherwise disadvantaged areas. We discuss behavioral poverty traps as a recent area of research, and geographic poverty traps as the most likely form of a trap. The resulting policy prescriptions are quite different from the calls for a big push in aid or an expansion of microfinance. The more-likely poverty traps call for action in less-traditional policy areas such as promoting more migration.
Scope of Project
Subject Terms:
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Poverty traps
JEL Classification:
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D31 Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions
I32 Measurement and Analysis of Poverty
I38 Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty: Government Programs; Provision and Effects of Welfare Programs
O15 Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
R23 Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics: Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population; Neighborhood Characteristics
D31 Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions
I32 Measurement and Analysis of Poverty
I38 Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty: Government Programs; Provision and Effects of Welfare Programs
O15 Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
R23 Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics: Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population; Neighborhood Characteristics
Geographic Coverage:
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Sri Lanka,
World
Time Period(s):
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1960 – 2010
Universe:
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Penn World Table data on GDP for 1960 and 2010 Sri Lanka small firm data on start-up costs for firms
Data Type(s):
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survey data;
observational data
Methodology
Data Source:
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Penn World Tables Sri Lanka Longitudinal Survey of Enterprises Baseline
Unit(s) of Observation:
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world level,
firm level
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