Name File Type Size Last Modified
  congestion 10/12/2019 12:09:AM
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1stageSim.mat application/octet-stream 261 bytes 10/11/2019 08:09:PM
2stageSim.mat application/octet-stream 260 bytes 10/11/2019 08:09:PM
BaselineQ.R text/plain 1.5 KB 10/11/2019 08:09:PM
BaselineQ.csv text/plain 1.1 KB 10/11/2019 08:09:PM
BaselineQextensive.csv text/plain 1.1 KB 10/11/2019 08:09:PM
BaselineQind.R text/plain 1.5 KB 10/11/2019 08:09:PM
Centrality.mat application/octet-stream 4.1 KB 10/11/2019 08:09:PM
CloseElec.dta application/octet-stream 916 bytes 10/11/2019 08:09:PM
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Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary Drug trade-related violence has escalated dramatically in Mexico since 2007, and recent years have also witnessed large-scale efforts to combat trafficking, spearheaded by Mexico's conservative PAN party. This study examines the direct and spillover effects of Mexican policy toward the drug trade. Regression discontinuity estimates show that drug-related violence increases substantially after close elections of PAN mayors. Empirical evidence suggests that the violence reflects rival traffickers' attempts to usurp territories after crackdowns have weakened incumbent criminals. Moreover, the study uses a network model of trafficking routes to show that PAN victories divert drug traffic, increasing violence along alternative drug routes. (JEL D72, D85, K42, O17, Z13)

Scope of Project

JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      D72 Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
      D85 Network Formation and Analysis: Theory
      K42 Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law
      O17 Formal and Informal Sectors; Shadow Economy; Institutional Arrangements
      Z13 Economic Sociology; Economic Anthropology; Language; Social and Economic Stratification


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