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Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary An exogenous expansion in mortgage credit has significant effects on house prices. This finding is established using US branching deregulations between 1994 and 2005 as instruments for credit. Credit increases for deregulated banks, but not in placebo samples. Such differential responses rule out demand-based explanations, and identify an exogenous credit supply shock. Because of geographic diversification, treated banks expand credit: housing demand increases, house prices rise, but to a lesser extent in areas with elastic housing supply, where the housing stock increases instead. In an instrumental variable sense, house prices are well explained by the credit expansion induced by deregulation. (JEL G21, G28, R21, R31)

Scope of Project

JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      G21 Banks; Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
      G28 Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation
      R21 Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics: Housing Demand
      R31 Housing Supply and Markets
Geographic Coverage:  View help for Geographic Coverage U.S. counties, U.S. states
Data Type(s):  View help for Data Type(s) [administrative records data, aggregate data]

Methodology

Data Source:  View help for Data Source HMDA, Call reports, SOD, Moodys' Economy.com, BEA, IRS
Unit(s) of Observation:  View help for Unit(s) of Observation county-level data,

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