Replication data for: Aid under Fire: Development Projects and Civil Conflict
Principal Investigator(s): View help for Principal Investigator(s) Benjamin Crost; Joseph Felter; Patrick Johnston
Version: View help for Version V1
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Project Citation:
Crost, Benjamin, Felter, Joseph, and Johnston, Patrick. Replication data for: Aid under Fire: Development Projects and Civil Conflict. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2014. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2019-10-11. https://doi.org/10.3886/E112831V1
Project Description
Summary:
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We estimate the causal effect of a large development program on conflict in the
Philippines through a regression discontinuity design that exploits an arbitrary poverty
threshold used to assign eligibility for the program. We find that barely eligible municipalities experienced a large increase in conflict casualties compared to barely ineligible
ones. This increase is mostly due to insurgent-initiated incidents in the early stages of
program preparation. Our results are consistent with the hypothesis that insurgents
try to sabotage the program because its success would weaken their support in the
population.
Scope of Project
JEL Classification:
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D74 Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions
F35 Foreign Aid
I32 Measurement and Analysis of Poverty
O15 Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
O17 Formal and Informal Sectors; Shadow Economy; Institutional Arrangements
O18 Economic Development: Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure
O19 International Linkages to Development; Role of International Organizations
D74 Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions
F35 Foreign Aid
I32 Measurement and Analysis of Poverty
O15 Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
O17 Formal and Informal Sectors; Shadow Economy; Institutional Arrangements
O18 Economic Development: Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure
O19 International Linkages to Development; Role of International Organizations
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