Replication data for: Credit Booms Gone Bust: Monetary Policy, Leverage Cycles, and Financial Crises, 1870-2008

Principal Investigator(s): View help for Principal Investigator(s) Moritz Schularick; Alan M. Taylor

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Project Citation:

Schularick, Moritz, and Taylor, Alan M. Replication data for: Credit Booms Gone Bust: Monetary Policy, Leverage Cycles, and Financial Crises, 1870-2008. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2012. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2019-10-11. https://doi.org/10.3886/E112505V1

Project Description

Summary: The financial crisis has refocused attention on money and credit fluctuations, financial crises, and policy responses. We study the behavior of money, credit, and macroeconomic indicators over the long run based on a new historical dataset for 14 countries over the years 1870-2008. Total credit has increased strongly relative to output and money in the second half of the twentieth century. Monetary policy responses to financial crises have also been more aggressive, but the output costs of crises have remained large. Credit growth is a powerful predictor of financial crises, suggesting that policymakers ignore credit at their peril. (JEL E32, E44, E52, G01, N10, N20)

Scope of Project

JEL Classification:
      E32 Business Fluctuations; Cycles
      E44 Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
      E52 Monetary Policy
      G01 Financial Crises
      N10 Economic History: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations: General, International, or Comparative
      N20 Economic History: Financial Markets and Institutions: General, International, or Comparative

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Published Versions

V1 [2019-10-11]

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