Data and Code for: Voter Turnout and Preference Aggregation

Principal Investigator(s): View help for Principal Investigator(s) Kei Kawai, University of California-Berkeley; Yuta Toyama, Waseda University; Yasutora Watanabe, University of Tokyo

Version: View help for Version V1

Name	File Type	Size	Last Modified
Analysis1_estimation			08/26/2019 02:57:AM
Analysis2_1_Rho_backup_Calc_SE			08/26/2019 02:57:AM
Analysis2_2_Standard_Error			08/26/2019 02:57:AM
Analysis3_CounterFactual			11/28/2019 10:26:PM
Data1_demographics_DF1-DF4			08/26/2019 03:00:AM
Data2_PUMA_correspondence			08/26/2019 03:00:AM
Data3_Election_County			08/26/2019 03:00:AM
Data4_demographics_PUMS_Joint			08/26/2019 02:57:AM
README_Data_Code.md	text/x-web-markdown	17.9 KB	11/28/2019 05:26:PM
README_Data_Code.pdf	application/pdf	615.3 KB	11/27/2019 08:29:PM

Project Citation:

Kawai, Kei, Toyama, Yuta, and Watanabe, Yasutora. Data and Code for: Voter Turnout and Preference Aggregation. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2021. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2021-10-21. https://doi.org/10.3886/E111041V1

Project Description

Summary:

We study how voter turnout affects the aggregation of preferences in

elections. Under voluntary voting, election outcomes disproportionately

aggregate the preferences of voters with low voting cost and high preference

intensity. We show identification of the correlation structure among

preferences, costs, and perceptions of voting efficacy, and explore how the

correlation affects preference aggregation. Using 2004 U.S. presidential

election data, we find that young, low-income, less-educated, and minority

voters are underrepresented. All of these groups tend to prefer Democrats,

except for the less-educated. Democrats would have won the majority of the

electoral votes if all eligible voters had turned out.

Scope of Project

JEL Classification:
D72 Political Processes: Rent-Seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
D72

Geographic Coverage: county

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Published Versions

V1 [2021-10-21]

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