Code and Supplementary Data for: Prediction Errors, Incarceration, & Violent Crime

Principal Investigator(s):  View help for Principal Investigator(s) Emma Harrington, University of Virginia; William Murdock III, Lazard; Hannah Shaffer, Harvard University

Version:  View help for Version V1

Name File Type Size Last Modified
  PUBLIC REPLICATION MATERIALS 09/21/2025 09:01:AM
README_prediction_paper.pdf application/pdf 314.1 KB 09/21/2025 04:53:AM

Project Citation: 

Harrington, Emma, Murdock III, William, and Shaffer, Hannah. Code and Supplementary Data for: Prediction Errors, Incarceration, & Violent Crime. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2026. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2026-03-24. https://doi.org/10.3886/E230362V1

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary These files contain the code and public data for "Prediction Errors, Incarceration, & Violent Crime," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy. The complete data includes confidential data that cannot be included in the public repository under our IRB.  

Scope of Project

Subject Terms:  View help for Subject Terms beliefs; stereotypes; prosecutors; incarceration; crime
JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      D83 Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
      J24 Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
      K14 Criminal Law
      K42 Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law
Geographic Coverage:  View help for Geographic Coverage North Carolina
Time Period(s):  View help for Time Period(s) 1/1/1995 – 12/1/2019
Collection Date(s):  View help for Collection Date(s) 5/5/2020 – 11/16/2020
Universe:  View help for Universe Surveys of 203 North Carolina prosecutors active in 2020. These surveys were linked to the over 100,000 cases these prosecutors handled between 1995 and 2019.  
Data Type(s):  View help for Data Type(s) administrative records data; survey data
Collection Notes:  View help for Collection Notes We conducted a survey of prosecutors in 2020 (from May until November). We merged this with administrative court records in North Carolina that stretch from 1995 to 2019.   

Methodology

Collection Mode(s):  View help for Collection Mode(s) web-based survey
Unit(s) of Observation:  View help for Unit(s) of Observation prosecutor

Related Publications

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Published Versions

V1 [2026-03-24]

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Dublin Core

DDI 2.5

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